Content Standard: D. Probability: Students will understand and apply concepts of probability.
Common Assessment(s): Maine LAD, Lucky Draw

Performance Indicators Students will be able to:	Essential Elements (Specific grade level learning objectives)	Suggested Performance Activities	Suggested Classroom Assessments	Vocabulary
1. Find the probability of simple events and make predictions by applying the theories of probability.	Understand and apply basic concepts of probability. Understand how to find probability and make predictions.	"Fair's Fair?" Exemplar, Fall 1999, pages 155-159. About Teaching Mathematics by Marilyn Burns	"A Fair Choice?" problem solving sheet 15-2, Addison Wesley Building Thinking Skills workbook, Gr.	predict prediction certainty chance uncertainty unlikely likelihood estimating experimental probability mathematical probability
2. Explain the idea that probability can be represented as a fraction between and including zero and one.	Have the opportunity to practice using fractions between zero and one to represent probability.	"What Are the Chances?" sheet 15-3, Addison-Wesley Building Thinking Skills Workbook, page 150. Power Practice Quiz, page 419, #1-4, student book, Addison-Wesley.	Explain how probability can be represented as a fraction between and including zero and one. (in writing or orally)	.